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 Covid 19 Pandemie

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TheSelfImprover
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TheSelfImprover

TheSelfImprover


Posts : 2922
Join date : 2020-11-18

Covid 19 Pandemie  - Page 22 Empty
PostSubject: Re: Covid 19 Pandemie    Covid 19 Pandemie  - Page 22 EmptyTue Jan 04, 2022 4:32 pm

Mclane wrote:
As it seems this desease will never let us out of the grip. We will not get our normal life back.


Firstly, we don't even know if this new variant is likely to be of concern.

Secondly, to have a reasonable chance of making a dangerous mutation, the virus has to spend a lot of time in a lot of people. Omicron, though, is acting like a global vaccination, which is quickly taking away this opportunity from the virus.

We've had false dawns before with Covid, but IMO there are many good reasons to be optimistic this time.
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TheSelfImprover

TheSelfImprover


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PostSubject: Re: Covid 19 Pandemie    Covid 19 Pandemie  - Page 22 EmptyTue Jan 04, 2022 4:54 pm

As a guide, the Omicron outbreak in South Africa started on the 22nd of November and peaked on the 17th December - link. That's a period of 25 days from the start of the outbreak to the peak.

This can only be a rough guide, of course, but the British rapid increase started on the 14th December, so we can expect to peak around the 8th January. Given that we have one of the highest seropositivity rates in the world, we could well peak even before that (South Africa's seropositivity was something like 35% lower than ours at the time IIRC).
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TheSelfImprover

TheSelfImprover


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PostSubject: Re: Covid 19 Pandemie    Covid 19 Pandemie  - Page 22 EmptyTue Jan 04, 2022 5:20 pm

TheSelfImprover wrote:
TheSelfImprover wrote:
TheSelfImprover wrote:
TheSelfImprover wrote:
TheSelfImprover wrote:
TheSelfImprover wrote:
Today's UK infection number is an all-time high - 106,122. The previous peak was the 17th December with 92,500.
Another new all-time high today: 119,789  Shocked
Today's infection number 122,186
For the first time since 24th Dec we have a number for the whole of Britain - and that number is 183,037 (this is less than France, which reported 208,000).
Still rising - 189,213 today.
Still rising: today's infection number is 189,846. Too soon to say for sure, but maybe levelling off?


Finally, we have complete numbers for the whole of Britain again - and that number has jumped to 218,724!  Shocked

I wonder if that number includes the numbers for the regions of Britain which were previously omitted?
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TheSelfImprover

TheSelfImprover


Posts : 2922
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Covid 19 Pandemie  - Page 22 Empty
PostSubject: Re: Covid 19 Pandemie    Covid 19 Pandemie  - Page 22 EmptyTue Jan 04, 2022 5:46 pm

TheSelfImprover wrote:
Finally, we have complete numbers for the whole of Britain again - and that number has jumped to 218,724!


The numbers for England alone (blue in the chart below) have been rising since January 2nd. At a glance, it looks as though people were being careful in the run up to Christmas, but have stopped being careful now.


Covid 19 Pandemie  - Page 22 Britco10
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Henk




Posts : 1243
Join date : 2020-11-17

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PostSubject: Re: Covid 19 Pandemie    Covid 19 Pandemie  - Page 22 EmptyTue Jan 04, 2022 6:05 pm

Same in the Netherlands. People coming back from Austria or Antwerpen or a party island.

Dutch government only cares about number of hospitalizations.  Great many people having problems with their upper part of their lungs or  being badly ill at home is less worse than young people not going to (sport)school and annoying their parents all day.

Mclane likes this post

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TheSelfImprover

TheSelfImprover


Posts : 2922
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Covid 19 Pandemie  - Page 22 Empty
PostSubject: Re: Covid 19 Pandemie    Covid 19 Pandemie  - Page 22 EmptyWed Jan 05, 2022 5:22 pm

TheSelfImprover wrote:
TheSelfImprover wrote:
TheSelfImprover wrote:
TheSelfImprover wrote:
TheSelfImprover wrote:
TheSelfImprover wrote:
TheSelfImprover wrote:
Today's UK infection number is an all-time high - 106,122. The previous peak was the 17th December with 92,500.
Another new all-time high today: 119,789  Shocked
Today's infection number 122,186
For the first time since 24th Dec we have a number for the whole of Britain - and that number is 183,037 (this is less than France, which reported 208,000).
Still rising - 189,213 today.
Still rising: today's infection number is 189,846. Too soon to say for sure, but maybe levelling off?
Finally, we have complete numbers for the whole of Britain again - and that number has jumped to 218,724!  Shocked


Today it's 194,747. A big number - but better than yesterday! bounce
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Mclane

Mclane


Posts : 2925
Join date : 2020-11-17
Age : 57
Location : United States of Europe, Germany, Ruhr area

Covid 19 Pandemie  - Page 22 Empty
PostSubject: Re: Covid 19 Pandemie    Covid 19 Pandemie  - Page 22 EmptyWed Jan 05, 2022 7:44 pm

It goes up: 258,6
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TheSelfImprover

TheSelfImprover


Posts : 2922
Join date : 2020-11-18

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PostSubject: Re: Covid 19 Pandemie    Covid 19 Pandemie  - Page 22 EmptyWed Jan 05, 2022 9:16 pm

Germany's Omicron rapid-increase start date is not 100% clear, but I'm calling it as the 28th December. 25 days from that date is the 22nd January.

For the Netherlands, I'm calling it as one day after Germany.

For France, I'm calling it as one day before Germany.

Likewise I'm calling Israel as one day before Germany as well.

The United States I'm calling as starting on the 26th December, and hence finishing the rapid infection increase phase on the 20th January.

Looks as though it might all be over by the end of the month! Very Happy
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Mclane

Mclane


Posts : 2925
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Covid 19 Pandemie  - Page 22 Empty
PostSubject: Re: Covid 19 Pandemie    Covid 19 Pandemie  - Page 22 EmptyThu Jan 06, 2022 1:08 am

Nonsense. If you would be the oracle of Delphi we would today be all 100% dead.
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Mclane

Mclane


Posts : 2925
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PostSubject: Re: Covid 19 Pandemie    Covid 19 Pandemie  - Page 22 EmptyThu Jan 06, 2022 7:13 am

Oh oh. Numbers increasing very fast. Germany 285,9.
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TheSelfImprover

TheSelfImprover


Posts : 2922
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PostSubject: Re: Covid 19 Pandemie    Covid 19 Pandemie  - Page 22 EmptyThu Jan 06, 2022 9:32 am

Mclane wrote:
Nonsense. If you would be the oracle of Delphi we would today be all 100% dead.


By the last week of January, France, Germany, Israel, the Netherlands and the USA will all be seeing rapid declines in infection rates. You'll see!  Razz
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Henk




Posts : 1243
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PostSubject: Re: Covid 19 Pandemie    Covid 19 Pandemie  - Page 22 EmptyThu Jan 06, 2022 10:13 am

Booster vaccin only protects 70% against Omnicron. And after three months about 30-40%.
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TheSelfImprover

TheSelfImprover


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PostSubject: Re: Covid 19 Pandemie    Covid 19 Pandemie  - Page 22 EmptyThu Jan 06, 2022 12:21 pm

Henk wrote:
Booster vaccin only protects 70% against Omnicron. And after three months about 30-40%.


Per previously linked article in this thread, if you get a Covid infection that breaks through a vaccination, you then get "super immunity" (a lot more antibodies than someone who has had either an infection or a vaccination alone). If you're VERY lucky, here's what will happen:

* you get a breakthrough infection

* because you're vaccinated, the infection will only be mild

* this breakthrough infection leaves you with super-immunity going forward! Twisted Evil
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Henk




Posts : 1243
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PostSubject: Re: Covid 19 Pandemie    Covid 19 Pandemie  - Page 22 EmptyThu Jan 06, 2022 12:46 pm

I also saw an estimate that 1:15 had Covid in UK previous week. In the Netherlands we reached an all time high yesterday while in lock down. Problem is nobody is taking measures serious anymore. All fed up.
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TheSelfImprover

TheSelfImprover


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PostSubject: Re: Covid 19 Pandemie    Covid 19 Pandemie  - Page 22 EmptyThu Jan 06, 2022 2:41 pm

Henk wrote:
I also saw an estimate that 1:15 had Covid in UK previous week. In the Netherlands we reached an all time high yesterday while in lock down. Problem is nobody is taking measures serious anymore. All fed up.


I have to include myself in that category: I was in a supermarket last week, and until I got to the checkout, I completely forgot that I was supposed to be wearing a mask!  Embarassed

In most cases, though, a negative thing has a positive side: when Covid started, gas masks were unavailable. Now, because people have stopped taking Covid seriously, they are cheap and plentiful - link.

Remember: always be positive! You're 31% more likely to come up with a better answer in a positive state of mind (link).
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TheSelfImprover

TheSelfImprover


Posts : 2922
Join date : 2020-11-18

Covid 19 Pandemie  - Page 22 Empty
PostSubject: Re: Covid 19 Pandemie    Covid 19 Pandemie  - Page 22 EmptyThu Jan 06, 2022 5:10 pm

TheSelfImprover wrote:
TheSelfImprover wrote:
TheSelfImprover wrote:
TheSelfImprover wrote:
TheSelfImprover wrote:
TheSelfImprover wrote:
TheSelfImprover wrote:
TheSelfImprover wrote:
Today's UK infection number is an all-time high - 106,122. The previous peak was the 17th December with 92,500.
Another new all-time high today: 119,789  Shocked
Today's infection number 122,186
For the first time since 24th Dec we have a number for the whole of Britain - and that number is 183,037 (this is less than France, which reported 208,000).
Still rising - 189,213 today.
Still rising: today's infection number is 189,846. Too soon to say for sure, but maybe levelling off?
Finally, we have complete numbers for the whole of Britain again - and that number has jumped to 218,724!  Shocked
Today it's 194,747. A big number - but better than yesterday!  bounce


Today's number: 179,756

A nice decline - and looking distinctly like a downward trend! cheers
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Henk




Posts : 1243
Join date : 2020-11-17

Covid 19 Pandemie  - Page 22 Empty
PostSubject: Re: Covid 19 Pandemie    Covid 19 Pandemie  - Page 22 EmptyThu Jan 06, 2022 11:24 pm

Go to the start. Tsunami can start .... now.
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TheSelfImprover

TheSelfImprover


Posts : 2922
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PostSubject: Re: Covid 19 Pandemie    Covid 19 Pandemie  - Page 22 EmptyThu Jan 06, 2022 11:38 pm

Henk wrote:
Go to the start.


Nobody said it was easy
no one ever said it would be this hard
oh take me back to the start



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TheSelfImprover

TheSelfImprover


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PostSubject: Re: Covid 19 Pandemie    Covid 19 Pandemie  - Page 22 EmptyFri Jan 07, 2022 12:11 am

Looking at those four girls, I found myself asking which one I liked the most. Well duh - the one with the cheeky grin!

That's the expression and attitude we should all be wearing when we meet new people - male or female. Come on guys - let's get flirty with everyone!
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Mclane

Mclane


Posts : 2925
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Covid 19 Pandemie  - Page 22 Empty
PostSubject: Re: Covid 19 Pandemie    Covid 19 Pandemie  - Page 22 EmptyFri Jan 07, 2022 9:29 am

Germany 303,4Covid 19 Pandemie  - Page 22 8fcbdf10
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Mclane

Mclane


Posts : 2925
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Age : 57
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PostSubject: Re: Covid 19 Pandemie    Covid 19 Pandemie  - Page 22 EmptyFri Jan 07, 2022 2:34 pm

Here you can see how the new wave begins before the delta wave reduced to ground.
It builds upon the delta wave, and hell we dont know how high it will rise.
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Mclane

Mclane


Posts : 2925
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PostSubject: Re: Covid 19 Pandemie    Covid 19 Pandemie  - Page 22 EmptyFri Jan 07, 2022 3:25 pm

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TheSelfImprover

TheSelfImprover


Posts : 2922
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PostSubject: Re: Covid 19 Pandemie    Covid 19 Pandemie  - Page 22 EmptyFri Jan 07, 2022 4:35 pm

At the moment, we are the winners!!! cheers
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TheSelfImprover

TheSelfImprover


Posts : 2922
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PostSubject: Re: Covid 19 Pandemie    Covid 19 Pandemie  - Page 22 EmptyFri Jan 07, 2022 5:34 pm

TheSelfImprover wrote:
TheSelfImprover wrote:
TheSelfImprover wrote:
TheSelfImprover wrote:
TheSelfImprover wrote:
TheSelfImprover wrote:
TheSelfImprover wrote:
TheSelfImprover wrote:
TheSelfImprover wrote:
Today's UK infection number is an all-time high - 106,122. The previous peak was the 17th December with 92,500.
Another new all-time high today: 119,789  Shocked
Today's infection number 122,186
For the first time since 24th Dec we have a number for the whole of Britain - and that number is 183,037 (this is less than France, which reported 208,000).
Still rising - 189,213 today.
Still rising: today's infection number is 189,846. Too soon to say for sure, but maybe levelling off?
Finally, we have complete numbers for the whole of Britain again - and that number has jumped to 218,724!  Shocked
Today it's 194,747. A big number - but better than yesterday!  bounce
Today's number: 179,756 A nice decline - and looking distinctly like a downward trend! cheers


Today's number: 178,250 . To be honest, disappointing. Not much lower than yesterday.
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Mclane

Mclane


Posts : 2925
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PostSubject: Re: Covid 19 Pandemie    Covid 19 Pandemie  - Page 22 EmptyFri Jan 07, 2022 8:09 pm

„UK“ in 2022, Pestilence island
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